So far that seems to be the case, yes. BestCar seems to think so. But time will tell if this proves to be true or not about Toyota re-engineering an existing Lexus RWD chassis for a small 2+2 RWD coupe.
Also that soon to be outgoing Lexus IS chassis uses the same rear differential that the GR86/BRZ uses.
If they can keep the weight down, change the upper structure, change the wheelbase and get as many of the unnecessary and heavy luxury features out of it as possible and still keep the weight at no more than 3,000lbs with a hybrid system installed... I'll be very impressed. And yes, it'll certainly be considered a 3rd generation 86.
And I hope they can achieve all of that. Would it not be even more expensive for Toyota to design a totally new small RWD chassis with very limited other applications or no other applications?
Then again maybe since Lexus will not be using that IS chassis any longer going forward the extent to which it will be re-used and re-engineered is probably just for the GR engineers to get out of it what they can to save what they can on total development costs. Supposedly using the newer TNGA RWD architecture was ruled out since it was far too big to ever get down to an appropriate size and weight comparable to the GT86/GR86.
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An exception to your breakdown is that you can't use the GR Yaris/Corolla 6MT transmission in a longitudinal RWD application. Your guess is as good as mine as to which transmission will be used for the manual option. Either GR works with Aisin to beef up their AZ6/TL70 6-speed manual box to handle extra turbo torque and extra electric motor torque or they go with something else.
For choosing and integrating the automatic option I think the engineers will have a much easier time of it.
The original Aisin AZ6 transmission design was used in at least one turbo application: the 1999-2002 Nissan S15 Silvia Spec R. The TL70 was redesigned based off of that.
Almost 2½ months ago, Kaizen Factor indulged in some of our much-loved Informed Speculation and attempted to delve into the specifics of The BRZ / FR-S / GT 86 transmissions and driveline. No soone…
kaizenfactor.wordpress.com
So perhaps it's possible that a further redesign of that same gearbox will be undertaken and then bolted to the longitudinal G16E-GTS turbo engine.